Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.226042 0.256888 0.289938 0.327930 0.370342 0.416173 0.469393
2025-11-02 0.187965 0.229848 0.277659 0.336079 0.405327 0.484573 0.581899
2025-11-09 0.155848 0.203230 0.260389 0.334000 0.425818 0.536068 0.677919
2025-11-16 0.132226 0.182708 0.246687 0.333003 0.445581 0.586506 0.775207
2025-11-23 0.113608 0.165549 0.234410 0.331294 0.462799 0.633603 0.870473
2025-11-30 0.101847 0.155708 0.230061 0.338654 0.491333 0.696144 0.988963
2025-12-07 0.089906 0.143892 0.221332 0.338484 0.508699 0.743969 1.089906
2025-12-14 0.079982 0.133666 0.213496 0.338290 0.525206 0.790763 1.191373
2025-12-21 0.071758 0.124943 0.206767 0.338669 0.541903 0.838081 1.295546
2025-12-28 0.065927 0.119256 0.203928 0.344335 0.566347 0.897457 1.419902
2026-01-04 0.061471 0.115262 0.203225 0.352981 0.595514 0.965010 1.559531
2026-01-11 0.056456 0.109704 0.199356 0.355991 0.615674 1.019576 1.681878
2026-01-18 0.052707 0.106102 0.198623 0.364423 0.645646 1.091920 1.837209
2026-01-25 0.049556 0.103219 0.198812 0.374322 0.678546 1.170584 2.006593
2026-02-01 0.044947 0.097051 0.192605 0.372550 0.691582 1.217821 2.127980
2026-02-08 0.040989 0.091667 0.187261 0.371738 0.705963 1.267721 2.255883
2026-02-15 0.037345 0.086465 0.181725 0.370010 0.718402 1.314732 2.380980
2026-02-22 0.035268 0.084243 0.181616 0.378227 0.748898 1.393654 2.563195
2026-03-01 0.032443 0.080089 0.177324 0.378089 0.764030 1.446639 2.703382
2026-03-08 0.029890 0.076219 0.173218 0.377902 0.778888 1.499645 2.845772
2026-03-15 0.027641 0.072756 0.169605 0.378336 0.794789 1.555064 2.994659
2026-03-22 0.026116 0.070795 0.168939 0.384604 0.822137 1.632276 3.185560
2026-03-29 0.024983 0.069632 0.169863 0.394157 0.856356 1.723516 3.405527